Holzworth, R. J., Stewart, T. R., and Mumpower, J. L. (2018) Detection and Selection Decisions with Conditional Feedback: Interaction of Task Uncertainty and Base Rate. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, doi: 10.1002/bdm.2062. Online Abstract
Stewart, T. R., Mumpower, J. L., & Holzworth, R. J. (2012).
Learning to make selection and detection decisions: The roles of base rate
and feedback. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 25(5), 522-533. Online Abstract
Weaver, E. A., & Stewart, T. R. (2012). Dimensions of judgment:
Factor analysis of individual differences. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making
(Special issue on individual differences), 25, 402-413.
Online Abstract
Ghaffarzadegan, N., & Stewart, T. R. (2011). An Extension
to the constructivist coding hypothesis as a learning model for selective
feedback when the base rate is high. Journal of Experimental Psychology:
Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 37(4), 1044-1047.
Stewart, T. R. (2009). The lens model. In M. Kattan (Ed.),
Encyclopedia of Medical Decision Making. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications, Inc.
Stewart, T. R. (2009). Social judgment theory. In M. Kattan (Ed.),
Encyclopedia of Medical Decision Making. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications, Inc.
Martinez-Moyano, I. J., Rich, E., Conrad, S., Andersen, D. F., &
Stewart, T. R. (2008). A Behavioral Theory of Insider-Threat Risks:
A System Dynamics Approach. ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer
Simulation, 18(2), Article 7.
Horrey, W. J., Wickens, C. D., Strauss, R., Kirlik, A.,
Stewart, T.R. (2006). Supporting situation assessment through
attention guidance and diagnostic aiding: The benefits
and costs of display enhancement on judgment skill.
In Kirlik, A. (Ed.) Adaptive Perspectives on Human-Technology
Interaction: Methods and Models for Cognitive Engineering and
Human-Computer Interaction. New York: Oxford University Press.
Stewart, T.R. and Mumpower, J. L. (2004). Detection and selection decisions in the practice of screening mammography. Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, 23(4), 908-920.
Stewart, T. R., Pielke, R. Jr., Nath, R. (2004). Understanding user decision making and value of improved precipitation forecasts: Lessons from a case study. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 85(2), 223-235.
http://ams.allenpress.com/pdfserv/i1520-0477-085-02-0223.pdf
Sorum, P. C., Stewart, T., Mullet, E., González-Vallejo, C., Shim, J., Chasseigne, G., Muñoz Sastre, M. T., and Grenier, B. (2002). Does choosing a treatment depend on making a diagnosis? U.S. and French physicians' decision making about acute otitis media. Medical Decision Making, 22(5), 394-402.
Mumpower, J. L., Nath, R., and Stewart, T. R. (2002) Affirmative action, duality of error, and the consequences of mispredicting the academic performance of African-American college applicants. Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, 21(1), 63-77.
Sorum, P. C., Shim, J., Chasseigne, G., Mullet, E., Muñoz Sastre, M. T., Stewart, T., González-Vallejo, C. (2002). Do Parents and Physicians Differ in Making Decisions About Acute Otitis Media? The Journal of Family Practice, 51, 51-57. (http://www.jfponline.com/content/2002/01/jfp_0102_00051.asp)
Hammond, K. R. and Stewart, T. R. (Eds.) (2001). The Essential Brunswik: Beginnings, Explications, Applications. New York: Oxford University Press. (Table of Contents)
Stewart, T. R. (2001). Improving reliability of judgmental forecasts.
In J. S. Armstrong (Ed.), Principles
of Forecasting: A Handbook for Researchers and Practitioners . Norwell,
MA: Kluwer Academic Publishers.
Stewart, T. R. (2000). Uncertainty, judgment, and
error in prediction. In Sarewitz, D., Pielke, R. Jr., and Byerly,
R. Jr. (Eds.), Prediction: Decision Making and the Future of Nature.
Washington D. C.: Island Press.
Stewart, T. R. (2000). Modernization: The Challenge Continues (Guest editorial). Weatherzine, Number 20, February; http://www.esig.ucar.edu/socasp/zine/.
Stewart, T. R. (1999). Commentary on "The Delphi technique as a forecasting
tool: Issues and analysis" by Rowe and Wright. Journal of Forecasting, 15, 380-381.
Way, B. B., Allen, M. H., Mumpower, J. L., Stewart, T. R., & Banks,
S. M. (1998). Interrater agreement among psychiatrist in psychiatric emergency
assessments. American Journal of Psychiatry, 155(10), 1423-8.
González-Vallejo, C., Sorum, P.C., Stewart, T.R., Chessare, J.B.,
Mumpower, J. (1998). A study of physicians’ diagnostic judgments
and treatment decisions for acute otitis media in children. Medical
Decision Making, 18, 149-162.
Chasseigne, G., Mullet, E., & Stewart, T. R. (1997). Aging and multiple
cue probability learning: The case of inverse relationships. Acta
Psychologica, 97, 235-252.
Stewart, T. R., Roebber, P. J. and Bosart, L. F. (1997). The importance
of the task in analyzing expert judgment. Organizational Behavior
and Human Decision Processes, 69, 205-219.
Stewart, T.R. (1997). Forecast value: Descriptive decision
studies. In Katz, R.W. and Murphy, A.H. (Eds.), Economic
value of weather and climate forecasts. New York: Cambridge University
Press.
Mumpower, J. L. and Stewart, T. R. (1996). Expert judgement and
expert disagreement. Thinking and Reasoning, 2, 191-211.
Stewart, T. R. (1995). On statistical terminology. Teaching Statistics,
17,
103.
Joyce, C. R. B. and Stewart, T. R. (1994). Applied research on judgment:
What should happen, Acta Psychologca, 87, 217-227.
Stewart, T. R. and Lusk, C. M. (1994). Seven components of judgmental
forecasting skill: Implications for research and the improvement of forecasts.
Journal of Forecasting, 13, 575-599. (Reprinted in Connolly, T., Arkes, H. R., and Hammond K. R., Eds., (2000) Judgment and Decision Making: An Interdisciplinary Reader, Second Edition. New York: Cambridge University Press.)
Heideman, K.F., Stewart, T.R., Moninger, W.R. and Reagan-Cirincione,
P. (1993). The weather information and skill experiment (WISE): The effect
of varying levels of information on forecast skill. Weather and Forecasting, 8,
25-36.
Stewart, T.R., Moninger, W.R., Heideman, K.F., and Reagan-Cirincione,
P. (1992). Effects of improved information on the components of skill in
weather forecasting. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes,
53,
107-134.
Shanteau, J. and Stewart, T.R. (1992). Why study expert decision making?
Some historical perspectives and comments. Organizational Behavior and
Human Decision Processes, 53, 95-106.
Stewart, T.R., Reagan-Cirincione, P., and Moninger, W.R. (1992). Coping
with the meteorological data explosion through simulated group forecasting.
Preprint
volume, Fourth AES/CMOS Workshop on Operational Meteorology, Whistler,
B.C., September, 15-18, 39-48.
Stewart, T.R., Mumpower, J.L., and Reagan-Cirincione, P. (1992). Scientists'
opinions about global climate change: Summary of the results of a survey.
NAEP
(National Association of Environmental Professionals) Newsletter, 17(2),
6-7.
Stewart, T.R. (1991). Scientists' uncertainty and disagreement about
global climate change: A psychological perspective, International Journal
of Psychology, 26, 565-573.
Stewart, T.R. and Reagan-Cirincione, P. (1991). Coefficients for debiasing
forecasts, Monthly Weather Review, 119, 2047-2051.
Ely, D. Leary, J.T., Stewart, T.R., and Ross, D.M (1991). The establishment
of the Denver Visibility Standard. Proceedings of the Air and Waste
Management Association, 84th Annual Meeting, Vancouver, B.C., June
16-21, 1991.
Stewart, T.R. (1990). A Decomposition of the correlation coefficient
and its use in analyzing forecasting skill, Weather and Forecasting,
5,
661-666.
Lusk, C.M., Stewart, T.R., Hammond, K.R. and Potts, R.J. (1990). Judgment
and decision making in dynamic tasks: The case of forecasting the microburst,
Weather
and Forecasting, 5, 627-639.
