Judgment and Decision Making Links
- Decision Science News is a well designed and well-edited blog edited by Dan Goldstein
- The WISE Project's Signal Detection Theory Tutorial. This is a short, but very useful tutorial. It includes an excellent JAVA applet that nicely demonstrates the criterion (or cutoff, or threshold), d', and how they affect the ROC curve.
- Personal Decision Making, a web site by Professor Barry Anderson, Portland State University. It includes the full text of his book The Three Secrets of Wise Decision Making, an excellent introduction to principles of personal decision making.
- Going through the goop: An introduction to decision making (1989) a short book for high-school/middle-school kids by
Jonathan Baron, Katherine Laskey, Rex V. Brown
- Forecasting Principles. The Forecasting Principles site seeks to summarize all useful knowledge about forecasting so that it can be used by researchers, practitioners, and educators. This knowledge is provided as principles (guidelines, prescription, rules, conditions, action statements, or advice about what to do in given situations). This site is designed to be used in conjunction with the Principles of Forecasting book which contains a section on judgmental forecasting.
Brunswik Society. Contains information on Brunswikian psychology and Social Judgment Theory
Course syllabi for
Annenberg/CPB Project Exhibits
Collection includes interactive learning exhibits on
statistics and math in daily life
Target Risk by Gerald
J.S. Wilde is the complete text of a book "Dealing with the danger of death,
disease and damage in everyday decisions." He proposes the theory
of risk homeostasis: "the degree of risk-taking behaviour and the magnitude
of loss due to accidents and lifestyle-dependent disease are maintained
over time, unless there is a change in the target level of risk."
Software for supporting judgment and decision making
Web-HIPRE is a web-version of the
HIPRE 3+ software for decision analytic problem structuring, multicriteria
evaluation and prioritization. "This software runs both MAVT and AHP models
and you can combine them as you like.The greatest benefit from the web
is that a group can work through the web and that you can create a homepage
for the problem and describe the alternatives and impacts by the
A small, but clever, MAUT
calculator from Requires JAVA
Links to vendors
of decision analysis software, from the Decision
Analysis Society site.
State University of New York
A. Rockefeller College of Public Affairs and Policy