Price=
	SMOOTH(Inventory coverage,Smoothing time)
	~	Dmnl
	~		|

Planned growth in capacity=
	G(Price)
	~	1/Month
	~		|

Smoothing time=
	2
	~	months
	~		|

Inventory coverage=
	Inventory/Ordering
	~	months
	~		|

Demand=
	1000 * (1+ STEP(Fractional step in demand, 6))
	~	units/Month
	~		|

Ordering=
	Demand*Phantom ordering*(1 + Switch for randomness in ordering*Randomness in ordering\
		)
	~	units/Month
	~		|

Shipping=
	Ordering*Fraction of orders shipped
	~	units/Month
	~		|

Fractional step in demand=
	0.15*(1-Switch for randomness in ordering) + 0*Switch for randomness in ordering
	~	
	~		|

Randomness in ordering=
	RANDOM NORMAL(-0.3, 0.3, 0 , 0.1 , 0 )
	~	Dmnl
	~		|

Switch for randomness in ordering=
	0
	~	
	~	Set to 1 to remove the STEP increase in Demand and introduce normally \
		distributed noise in Ordering
	|

Fraction of orders shipped=
	F(Inventory coverage)/Phantom ordering
	~	Dmnl
	~		|

Producing=
	Production capacity
	~	units/Month
	~		|

Building capacity=
	Capacity in construction/Capacity acquisition delay
	~	units/Month
	~		|

Capacity acquisition delay=
	12
	~	
	~		|

Capacity in construction= INTEG (
	+Capacity ordering-Building capacity,
		0)
	~	units/Month
	~		|

Delivery delay=
	Inventory/Shipping
	~	months
	~		|

Delivery delay perceived by the market=
	SMOOTH3I(Delivery delay, Mkt perception and reaction time, 3)
	~	months
	~		|

Desired coverage=
	3
	~	months
	~		|

F(
	[(0,0)-(8,1.2)],(0,0),(0.6,0.335821),(1.2,0.622388),(1.8,0.841791),(2.4,0.949254),(3\
		,1),(3.6,1),(4.2,1),(4.8,1),(5.4,1),(6,1))
	~	Dmnl
	~		|

G(
	[(0,-0.01)-(8,0.01)],(0,0.01),(0.6,0.00985075),(1.2,0.00958955),(1.8,0.00873134),(2.4\
		,0.00645522),(3,0),(3.6,-0.00402985),(4.2,-0.00634328),(4.8,-0.00768657),(5.4,-0.00865672\
		),(6,-0.0091791))
	~	1/Month
	~		|

H(
	[(0,0)-(10,2)],(0,1),(1,1),(2,1),(3,1),(4,1.1),(5,1.23881),(6,1.44776),(7,1.66418),(\
		8,1.85075),(9,1.95522),(10,2))
	~	Dmnl
	~		|

Inventory= INTEG (
	Producing-Shipping,
		Demand*Desired coverage)
	~	units
	~		|

Mkt perception and reaction time=
	3
	~	months
	~		|

Capacity ordering=
	Production capacity*Planned growth in capacity
	~	units/Month
	~		|

Phantom ordering=
	H(Delivery delay perceived by the market)
	~	Dmnl
	~		|

Production capacity= INTEG (
	Building capacity,
		Demand)
	~	units/Month
	~		|

********************************************************
	.Control
********************************************************~
		Simulation Control Parameters
	|

FINAL TIME  = 240
	~	Month
	~	The final time for the simulation.
	|

INITIAL TIME  = 0
	~	Month
	~	The initial time for the simulation.
	|

SAVEPER  = 1
	~	Month [0,?]
	~	The frequency with which output is stored.
	|

TIME STEP  = 0.25
	~	Month [0,?]
	~	The time step for the simulation.
	|

\\\---/// Sketch information - do not modify anything except names
V300  Do not put anything below this section - it will be ignored
*View 1
$192-192-192,0,Comic Sans MS|18||0-0-0|0-0-0|0-0-255|-1--1--1|-1--1--1|72,72
10,1,Inventory,397,130,51,30,3,3,0,4,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,255-255-128,|18||0-0-0
12,2,48,207,123,10,8,0,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0
1,3,5,1,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(316,123)|
1,4,5,2,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(246,123)|
11,5,48,281,123,6,8,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0
10,6,Producing,281,145,42,14,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0
12,7,48,590,124,10,8,0,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0
1,8,10,7,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(550,124)|
1,9,10,1,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(478,124)|
11,10,48,515,124,6,8,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0
10,11,Shipping,515,146,38,14,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0
10,12,Demand,521,287,35,14,8,3,1,0,0,0,0,0
10,13,Production capacity,187,236,62,32,3,3,1,4,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,255-255-128,|18||0-0-0
1,14,13,6,1,1,32,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(206,171)|
10,15,Inventory coverage,415,296,44,25,8,3,2,0,0,0,0,0
1,16,1,15,1,2,32,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(395,193)|
10,17,Fraction of orders shipped,652,288,81,25,8,3,2,0,0,0,0,0
1,18,17,11,1,2,32,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(588,196)|
10,19,Planned growth in capacity,383,551,76,25,8,3,4,0,0,0,0,0
10,20,F,816,324,8,14,8,3,8,0,0,0,0,0
10,21,G,520,601,8,14,8,3,8,0,0,0,0,0
1,22,20,17,0,8,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(777,315)|
1,23,21,19,0,8,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(488,589)|
10,24,Capacity in construction,182,400,61,35,3,3,3,4,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,255-255-128,|18||0-0-0
1,25,27,13,4,3,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(187,285)|
1,26,27,24,100,3,0,22,2,64,0,-1--1--1,|18||0-0-0,1|(187,340)|
11,27,620,187,309,8,6,33,3,3,0,4,0,0,0
10,28,Building capacity,231,309,36,25,40,3,3,0,-1,0,0,0
12,29,48,179,540,10,8,0,3,3,0,-1,0,0,0
1,30,32,24,4,3,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(184,460)|
1,31,32,29,100,3,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(184,515)|
11,32,48,184,492,8,6,33,3,3,0,4,0,0,0
10,33,Capacity ordering,231,492,39,25,40,3,3,0,-1,0,0,0
1,34,19,33,1,4,32,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(283,545)|
1,35,24,27,1,3,32,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(142,335)|
10,36,Capacity acquisition delay,331,357,71,25,8,3,3,0,0,0,0,0
10,37,Delivery delay,520,47,37,25,8,3,5,0,0,0,0,0
1,38,1,37,1,5,32,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(420,70)|
1,39,10,37,1,5,32,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(513,93)|
10,40,Delivery delay perceived by the market,708,69,83,36,3,3,5,4,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,255-255-128,|18||0-0-0
1,41,37,40,1,5,32,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(586,38)|
10,42,Phantom ordering,741,187,39,25,8,3,5,0,0,0,0,0
1,43,40,42,1,5,32,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(740,121)|
10,44,H,869,185,9,14,8,3,8,0,0,0,0,0
1,45,44,42,0,8,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(826,185)|
10,46,Mkt perception and reaction time,933,49,85,25,8,3,8,0,0,0,0,0
1,47,46,40,1,8,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(792,50)|
1,48,36,28,1,3,32,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(294,310)|
1,49,13,32,1,4,32,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(63,361)|
12,50,0,530,353,56,11,8,4,2,26,-1,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|14|B|255-0-0
Availability loop
12,51,0,334,443,66,19,8,4,4,26,-1,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|14|B|255-0-0
Price and capacity adjustment loop
12,52,0,646,144,49,19,8,4,6,26,-1,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|14|B|255-0-0
Phantom ordering loops
1,53,42,56,1,5,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(634,222)|
1,54,15,17,1,2,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(546,395)|
1,55,42,17,1,6,45,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(710,249)|
10,56,Ordering,518,220,41,14,8,3,1,0,0,0,0,0
1,57,12,56,0,1,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(520,260)|
1,58,56,11,0,1,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(516,189)|
1,59,56,15,1,2,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(443,239)|
10,60,Fractional step in demand,524,424,76,25,8,3,8,2,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|18||92-92-92
1,61,60,12,0,8,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(522,356)|
10,62,Randomness in ordering,817,443,63,25,8,3,8,2,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|18||92-92-92
1,63,62,56,1,8,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(650,349)|
10,64,Switch for randomness in ordering,673,446,100,25,8,3,7,2,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|18||0-128-0
1,65,64,56,1,7,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(605,326)|
1,66,64,60,1,8,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(572,454)|
10,67,Smoothing time,547,517,46,25,8,3,8,0,0,0,0,0
10,68,Price,454,462,45,23,3,3,4,4,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,255-255-128,|18||0-0-0
1,69,15,68,1,4,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(446,400)|
1,70,68,19,1,4,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(425,505)|
10,71,Desired coverage,678,537,44,25,8,2,9,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|18||128-128-128
1,72,67,68,0,8,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(504,491)|
12,73,0,334,410,13,13,4,0,4,1,-1,0,0,0,255-0-0,0-0-0,|18||0-0-0
12,74,0,527,316,13,13,5,0,2,1,-1,0,0,0,255-0-0,0-0-0,|18||0-0-0
12,75,0,652,185,13,13,4,0,6,1,-1,0,0,0,255-0-0,0-0-0,|18||0-0-0
1,76,12,1,0,0,0,0,0,0,1,-1--1--1,,1|(469,222)|
1,77,71,1,0,0,0,0,0,0,1,-1--1--1,,1|(542,341)|
1,78,12,13,0,0,0,0,0,0,1,-1--1--1,,1|(374,264)|
///---\\\
:L<%^E!@
1:Basell3.vdf
1:Basell1 2loops.vdf
1:Basell1.vdf
9:Basell
22:$,Dollar,Dollars,$s
22:Hour,Hours
22:Month,Months
22:Person,People,Persons
22:Unit,Units
22:Week,Weeks
22:Year,Years
22:Day,Days
15:0,0,0,0,0,0
19:5,0
27:2,
4:Time
5:Phantom ordering
24:0
25:240
26:240