Lance Bosart

Lance Bosart

Researches weather-climate intersection, synoptic-dynamic meteorology, mesoscale meteorology, tropical cyclones, and weather forecasting

The World Within Reach
Lance F. Bosart
Distinguished Professor
 

College of Arts and Sciences
Department: Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences

Address:
ES 227
Phone:
518-442-4564

 

Education

June 1964, B.S. in Aeronautics and Astronautics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology

August 1966, M.S. in Meteorology, Massachusetts Institute of Technology

June 1969, Ph.D. in Meteorology, Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Research Interests

I have broad research interests in planetary-scale, synoptic-scale and mesoscale meteorology. I work on a variety of multiscale (time and space) research problems that relate to the weather and climate of higher- and middle-latitude regions as well as the tropics. Research problems that involve winter storms, hurricanes, organized convective systems and the predictability of individual flow regimes are especially attractive to me. I am especially interested in problems at the weather-climate interface. I am also interested in the weather analysis and forecasting process including forecast verification studies and the measurement and assessment of forecaster skill. My forecast-related activities have stimulated me to pursue numerous synoptic-dynamic research opportunities with my graduate and undergraduate students that have resulted in refereed publications. I like to collaborate on research projects with other University at Albany faculty members in the synoptic-dynamic group and with colleagues at other institutions. Recent external collaborators include Chris Davis and Morris Weisman at NCAR, and Ron McTaggart-Cowan at the Meteorological Service of Canada (MSC).

I have external research support, joint with Professor Daniel Keyser, from the National Science Foundation (NSF) for "Phenomenological Studies of Cool-Season Extreme Weather Events over Central and Eastern North America on Intraseasonal Time Scales." This NSF grant was received in 2014 and will be complete later in 2019.  I also have NSF funding that began in 2016 for “Climatological, Composite, and Case Study Analyses Linking Rossby Wave Breaking to Potential Vorticity Streamer and Cutoff Cyclone Formation in the Subtropical North Atlantic Basin.” Funding from this grant will continue through 2020. Currently, this grant funds one M.S. student and one Ph.D. student.  I also have a grant (with Co-PI Daniel Keyser) from the Office of Naval Research (ONR) for “Phenomenological and Predictability Studies of the Structure and Evolution of Arctic Cyclones, Polar Lows, and Tropopause Polar Vortices.” Funding on this five-year grant began in 2018 and will run through 2023. Professor Daniel Keyser and I are planning to submit a new NSF proposal in the Fall 2019 semester for research funding to complement ongoing Arctic meteorology funding through ONR.

I am a co-investigator on an NSF proposal in the program for Partnerships for International Research and Education (PIRE). The project is entitled “Building Extreme Weather Resiliency Through Improved Weather and Climate Prediction and Response Strategies.” The project is led by Dr. Everette Joseph and was funded in September 2015. I work with co-principal investigator Christopher Thorncroft. We will focus on case studies and composite analyses of terrain-influenced extreme rainfall events in the northeastern U.S. and Taiwan. This project supports one existing graduate student.

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My current research projects focus on observational and modeling studies of synoptic and mesoscale phenomena from a multiscale perspective. Specifically, I work with my students on a variety of research projects that seek to: (1) understand the physical processes governing the tropical transition (TT) and extratropical transition (ET) of tropical cyclones (TCs), (2) deduce what physical processes control the evolution and distribution of heavy precipitation associated with landfalling TCs, (3) understand what physical processes govern the TT of cold-core baroclinic systems to warm-core TCs through real-data diagnostic analysis and numerical simulations, (4) document the structure and life cycles of continental and oceanic cyclones and anticyclones with emphasis on polar-midlatitude interactions and explore the extent to which large-scale circulation patterns (e.g., the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the Pacific-North American (PNA) pattern) control the extent and structure of these storms, (5) investigate extreme weather events at the weather-climate interface that significantly impact intraseasonal variability, (6) investigate arctic-midlatitude interactions motivated by the ongoing and accelerating loss of Arctic Ocean sea ice, (7) explore how cutoff cyclones trigger damaging heavy precipitation events, (8) deduce the physical processes that control the evolution of mesoscale substructure within cyclones, (9) conduct detailed analyses of the structure and life cycle of challenging to forecast warm season mesoscale convective weather systems across the U.S., (10) define the environmental conditions associated with a spectrum of severe weather in the northeastern US and determine the impact of regional physiography on storm structure and evolution, and (11) document the nature of convection-dominated warm season heavy precipitation and stratiform-dominated cool season heavy precipitation events in the northeastern US. To the extent possible, the Weather Research Forecast (WRF) model will be used to conduct real-data numerical simulations that are designed to test physical hypotheses for storm development formulated from the diagnostic analysis of these events.

I like to work with graduate students individually or cooperatively with other faculty members on a variety of research problems. Student interests can often dictate new research opportunities and directions. I also like to work with undergraduate students on research projects designed to stimulate their interest in atmospheric science.

Publications

Publications (2000 to present):

Koppel, L. L., L. F. Bosart, and D. Keyser, 2000:  A 25 year climatology of large-amplitude inertia-gravity waves over the conterminous United States.  Mon. Wea. Rev., 128, 51–68. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/1520-0493%282000%29128%3C0051%3AAYCOLA%3E2.0.CO%3B2

Bosart, L. F., C. S. Velden, W. E. Bracken, J. Molinari, and P. G. Black, 2000:  Environmental influences on the rapid intensification of Hurricane Opal (1995) over the Gulf of Mexico.  Mon. Wea. Rev., 128, 322–352. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/1520-0493%282000%29128%3C0322%3AEIOTRI%3E2.0.CO%3B2

Bracken, W. E., and L. F. Bosart, 2000:  The role of synoptic-scale flow during tropical cyclogenesis over the North Atlantic Ocean.  Mon. Wea. Rev., 128, 353–376. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/1520-0493%282000%29128%3C0353%3ATROSSF%3E2.0.CO%3B2

Lupo, A. R., L. F. Bosart, J. J. Nocera, E. G. Hoffman, and D. J. Knight, 2001:  South American cold surges:  Type, composites, and case studies.  Mon. Wea. Rev., 129, 1021–1041. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/1520-0493%282001%29129%3C1021%3ASACSTC%3E2.0.CO%3B2

Bals-Elsholz, T. M., E. H. Atallah, L. F. Bosart, T. A. Wasula, M. J. Cempa, and A. R. Lupo, 2001:  The wintertime Southern Hemisphere split jet:  Structure, variability, and evolution.  J. of Climate, 14, 4191–4215. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/1520-0442%282001%29014%3C4191%3ATWSHSJ%3E2.0.CO%3B2

Davis, C. A., and L. F. Bosart, 2001:  Numerical simulations of the genesis of Hurricane Diana (1984).  Part I:  Control simulation.  Mon. Wea. Rev., 129, 1859–1881. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/1520-0493%282001%29129%3C1859%3ANSOTGO%3E2.0.CO%3B2

Doswell III, C. A. and L. F. Bosart, 2001:  Extratropical Synoptic-Scale Processes and Severe Convection. American Meteorological Society Monograph, https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/0065-9401-28.50.27

Richter, H., and L. F. Bosart, 2002:  The suppression of deep moist convection near the southern plains dryline.  Mon. Wea. Rev., 130, 1665–1691. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/1520-0493%282002%29130%3C1665%3ATSODMC%3E2.0.CO%3B2

Davis, C. A., and L. F. Bosart, 2002:  Numerical simulations of the genesis of Hurricane Diana (1984). Part II.  Sensitivity of track and intensity prediction.  Mon. Wea. Rev., 130, 1100–1124. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/1520-0493%282002%29130%3C1100%3ANSOTGO%3E2.0.CO%3B2

Wasula, A. C., L. F. Bosart, and K. D. LaPenta, 2002:  The influence of terrain on the severe weather distribution across interior Eastern New York and Western New England.  Wea. and Forecasting, 17, 1277–1289. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/1520-0434%282002%29017%3C1277%3ATIOTOT%3E2.0.CO%3B2

Atallah, E. H., and L. F. Bosart 2003: Extratropical transition and precipitation distribution of Hurricane Floyd '99. Mon. Wea. Rev., 131, 1063–1081. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/1520-0493%282003%29131%3C1063%3ATETAPD%3E2.0.CO%3B2\

Bosart, L. F., 2003: Tropopause folding: Upper-level frontogenesis, and beyond. A Half Century of Progress in Meteorology: A Tribute to Richard J. Reed. Meteor. Monogr., Amer. Meteor. Soc. Volume 31, number 53; 13–47. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/0065-9401-31.53.13

Bosart, L. F., 2003: Whither the weather analysis and forecasting process? Wea. Forecasting, 18, 520–529. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/1520-0434%282003%2918%3C520%3AWTWAAF%3E2.0.CO%3B2

Davis, C. A., and L. F. Bosart, 2003: Baroclinically induced tropical cyclogenesis. Mon. Wea. Rev., 131, 2730–2747. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/1520-0493%282003%29131%3C2730%3ABITC%3E2.0.CO%3B2

Jones, S. C., P. A. Harr, J. Abraham, L. F. Bosart, P. J. Bowyer, D. E. Hanley, B. N. Hanstrum, F. Lalaurette, M. R. Sinclair, R. K. Smith, and C. Thorncroft, 2003: The extratropical transition of tropical cyclones: Forecast challenges, current understanding and future directions. Wea. Forecasting, 18, 1052–1092. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/1520-0434%282003%29018%3C1052%3ATETOTC%3E2.0.CO%3B2

Pyle, M. E., D. Keyser, and L. F. Bosart, 2004: A diagnostic study of jet streaks: Kinematic signatures and relationship to coherent tropopause disturbances. Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, 297–319. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/1520-0493%282004%29132%3C0297%3AADSOJS%3E2.0.CO%3B2

Davis, C. A., and L. F. Bosart, 2004: The TT problem: Forecasting the tropical transition of cyclones. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 85, 1657–1662. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/BAMS-85-11-1657

Davis, C., N. Atkins, D. Bartels, L. F. Bosart, M. Coniglio, G. Bryan, W. Cotton, D. Dowell, B. Jewett, R. Johns, D. Jorgensen, J. Knievel, K. Knupp, W.-C. Lee, G. McFarquhar, J. Moore, R. Przbylinski, R. Rauber, B. Smull, R. Trapp, S Trier, R. Wakimoto, M. Weisman, and C. Ziegler, 2004: The Bow Echo and MCV experiment observations and opportunities. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 85, 1075–1093. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-85-8-1075

Novak, D. R., L. F. Bosart, D. Keyser, and J. S. Waldstreicher, 2004: An observational study of cold season banded precipitation in northeast United States cyclones. Wea. Forecasting, 19, 993–1009. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/815.1

Reasor, P. D., M. T. Montgomery, and L. F. Bosart, 2005: Mesoscale observations of the genesis of Hurricane Dolly (1996). J. Atmos. Sci., 62, 3151–3171. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JAS3540.1

LaPenta, K. D., L. F. Bosart, T. J. Galarneau Jr., and M. J. Dickinson, 2005: A multiscale examination of the 31 May 1998 Mechanicville, New York, F3 tornado. Wea. Forecasting, 20, 494–516. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WAF875.1

Novak, D. R., J. S. Waldstreicher, D. Keyser, and L. F. Bosart, 2006: A forecast strategy for anticipating cold season mesoscale band formation within eastern U.S. cyclones. Wea. Forecasting, 21, 3–23. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WAF907.1

McTaggart-Cowan, R., E. H. Atallah, J. R. Gyakum, and L. F. Bosart, 2006: Hurricane Juan (2003). Part I: A diagnostic and compositing lifecycle study. Mon. Wea. Rev., 134, 1725–1747. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/MWR3142.1

McTaggart-Cowan, R., L. F. Bosart, and J. R. Gyakum, 2006: Hurricane Juan (2003). Part II: Forecasting and numerical simulation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 134, 1748–1771. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/MWR3143.1

Davis, C. A., and L. F. Bosart, 2006: The formation of Hurricane Humberto (2001): The importance of extra-tropical precursors. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 132, 2055–2085. https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1256/qj.05.42

McTaggart-Cowan, R., L. F. Bosart, C. A. Davis, E. H. Atallah, J. R. Gyakum, and K. A. Emanuel, 2006: Analysis of Hurricane Catarina (2004). Mon. Wea. Rev., 134, 3029–3053. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/MWR3330.1

Bosart, L. F., A. Seimon, K. D. LaPenta, and M. J. Dickinson, 2006: Supercell Tornadogenesis over Complex Terrain: The Great Barrington, Massachusetts Tornado on 29 May 1995, Wea. Forecasting, 21, 897–922. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WAF957.1

Wasula, A. C., L. F. Bosart, R. S. Schneider, S. J. Weiss, G. S. Manikin, and P. Welch, 2007: Mesoscale aspects of the rapid intensification of a tornadic convective line across central Florida: 22-23 February 1998. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 223–243. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/WAF977.1

Atallah, E. H., L. F. Bosart, and A. R. Aiyyer, 2007: Precipitation distribution associated with landfalling tropical cyclones over the eastern United States. Mon. Wea. Rev., 135, 2185–2206. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/MWR3382.1

Schultz, D. M., K. Seitter, L. F. Bosart, C. Gorski, and C. Iovinella, 2007: Factors affecting the increasing costs of AMS conferences. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 88, 6, 408-417. https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/1f9e/eaed576168f10128c2381a81023f5bc386af.pdf

McTaggart-Cowan, R., L. F. Bosart, J. R. Gyakum, and E. H. Atallah, 2007: Hurricane Katrina (2005), Part I: Complex lifecycle of an intense tropical cyclone. Mon. Wea. Rev., 135, 3905–3926. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2007MWR1875.1

McTaggart-Cowan, R., L. F. Bosart, J. R. Gyakum, and E. H. Atallah, 2007: Hurricane Katrina (2005), Part II: Evolution and hemispheric impacts of a diabatically-generated warm pool. Mon. Wea. Rev., 135, 3927–3949. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2007MWR2096.1

McTaggart-Cowan, R., G. D. Dean, L. F. Bosart, C. A. Davis, and T. J. Galarneau, Jr., 2008: Climatology of tropical cyclogenesis in the North Atlantic (1948-2004). Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 1284–1304. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2007MWR2245.1

Junker, N. W., R. H. Grumm, R. Hart, L. F. Bosart, K. M. Bell, and F. J. Pereira, 2008: Use of anomalous fields to anticipate extreme rainfall in the mountains of northern California. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 313–335. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2007WAF2007013.1

Archambault, H. M., L. F. Bosart, D. Keyser, and A. R. Aiyyer, 2008: Influence of large-scale flow regimes on cool-season precipitation in the Northeast U.S. Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 2945–2963. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2007MWR2308.1

Bosart, L. F., A. C. Wasula, W. Drag, and K. Meier, 2008: Strong surface fronts over sloping terrain and coastal plains. Fred Sanders Monograph, L. F. Bosart and H. B. Bluestein, Ed., Meteor. Monogr., American Meteorological Society, 33, No. 55, 35–86. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/0065-9401-33.55.35

Galarneau, T. J. Jr., L. F. Bosart and A. R. Aiyyer, 2008: A 54-year Global Closed Anticyclone Climatology (1950–2003). Fred Sanders Monograph, L. F. Bosart and H. B. Bluestein, Ed., Meteor. Monogr., American Meteorological Society, 33, No. 55, 349–392. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/0065-9401-33.55.349

Galarneau, T. J. Jr., L. F. Bosart, C. A. Davis, and R. McTaggart-Cowan, 2009. Baroclinic transition of a long-lived mesoscale convective vortex. Mon. Wea. Rev., 137, 2, 562–584. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2008MWR2651.1

Srock, A. F., and L. F. Bosart, 2009: Heavy precipitation associated with southern Appalachian cold-air damming and Carolina coastal frontogenesis in advance of weak landfalling tropical storm Marco (1990). Mon. Wea. Rev., 137, 2448–2470. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2009MWR2819.1

Corbosiero, K. L., M. Dickinson, and L. F. Bosart, 2009: The contribution of Eastern North Pacific tropical cyclones to the rainfall climatology of the Southwest United States. Mon. Wea. Rev., 137, 2415–2435. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2009MWR2768.1

Steenburgh, W. J., C. R. Neuman, and G. L. West, 2009: Discrete frontal propagation over the Sierra–Cascade Mountains and Intermountain West. Mon. Wea. Rev., 137, 2000–2020. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2008MWR2811.1

Gao, S., Z. Meng, F. Zhang, and L. F. Bosart, 2009: Observational Analysis of heavy rainfall mechanisms associated with severe Tropical Storm Bilis (2006) after its landfall: Observational analysis. Mon. Wea. Rev., 137, 1881–1897. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2008MWR2669.1

Cordeira, J. M., and L. F. Bosart, 2010: The antecedent large-scale conditions of the "Perfect Storms" of late October and early November 1991, Mon. Wea. Rev., 138, 2546–2569. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2010MWR3280.1

Metz, N., L. F. Bosart, 2010: Derecho and MCS development, evolution, and multiscale interactions during 3-5 July 2003, Mon Wea. Rev., 138, 3048–3070. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/MWR-D-11-00163.1

Galarneau Jr., T. J., L. F. Bosart, and R. S. Schumacher, 2010: Predecessor Rain Events Ahead of Tropical Cyclones, Mon. Wea. Rev., 138, 3272–3297. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2010MWR3243.1

Archambault, H. M., D. Keyser, and L. F. Bosart, 2010: Relationships between large-scale regime transitions and major cool-season precipitation events in the northeastern United States, Mon. Wea. Rev., 138, 3454–3473. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2010MWR3362.1

McTaggart-Cowan, R., T. J. Galarneau Jr., L. F. Bosart, and J. A. Milbrandt, 2010a: Development and Tropical Transition of an Alpine Lee Cyclone. Part I:  Case Analysis and Evaluation of Numerical Guidance, 2010:  Mon. Wea. Rev., 138, 2281–2307. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2009MWR3147.1

McTaggart-Cowan, R., T. J. Galarneau Jr., L. F. Bosart, and J. A. Milbrandt, 2010b: Development and Tropical Transition of an Alpine Lee Cyclone. Part II:  Orographic Influence on the Development Pathway:  Mon. Wea. Rev., 138, 2208–2306. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2009MWR3148.1

Jeglum, M. E., W. J. Steenburgh, T. P. Lee, and L. F. Bosart, 2010: Multi-reanalysis climatology of Intermountain cyclones, Mon. Wea. Rev., 138, 4035–4053. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2010MWR3432.1

Schumacher, R. S., T. J. Galarneau, Jr., and L. F. Bosart, 2011: Distant effects of a recurving tropical cyclone on rainfall in a midlatitude convective system: A high-impact predecessor rain event. Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 650-667. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2010MWR3453.1

Cordeira, J. M., and L. F. Bosart, 2011: Cyclone interactions and evolutions during the "Perfect Storms" of late October and early November 1991, Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 1683–1701. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2010MWR3537.1

Bosart, L. F., J. M. Cordeira, T. J. Galarneau, Jr., B. Moore, and H. Archambault, 2012: An Analysis of Multiple Predecessor Rain Events Ahead of Tropical Cyclones Ike and Lowell: 10-15 September 2008, Mon. Wea. Rev., 140, 1081–1107. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/MWR-D-11-00163.1

Montgomery, M. T., C. Davis, T. Dunkerton, Z. Wang, C. Velden, R. Torn, S. J. Majundar, F. Zhang, R. K. Smith, L. F. Bosart, M. M. Bell, J. S. Haase, A. Heymsfield, J. Jensen, T. Campos, and M. A. Botthe, 2012: The Pre-Depression Investigation of Cloud Systems in the Tropics (PREDICT) Experiment: Scientific Basis, New Analysis Tools and Some First Results. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 92, 153–172.  https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00046.1

Zhou, L., Y. Tian, S. B. Roy, C. Thorncroft, L. F. Bosart, and Y. Hu, 2012: Impacts of wind farms on land surface temperature, Nature Climate Change, 2, 539–543. https://www.nature.com/articles/nclimate1505?fbclid=IwAR3WrGQSBGVVOAkuOMmsgQnzP1LcgwpQMbxsBTSNOrW-CF4cf5Gg12la17E

Kunkel, K. E., T. R. Karl, H. Brooks, J. Kossin, J. Lawrimore, D. Arndt, L. Bosart, D. Changnon, S. Cutter, N. Doesken, K. Emanuel, P. Y. Groisman, R. W. Katz, T. Knutson, J. O’Brien, C. J. Paciorek, T. Peterson, K. Redmond, D. Robinson, J. Trapp, R. Vose, S. Weaver, M. Wehner, K. Wolter, and D. Wuebbles, 2013: Monitoring and Understanding Changes in Extreme Storm Statistics: State of Knowledge. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 94, 499–514. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00262.1

McTaggart-Cowan, R., T. J. Galarneau, Jr., L. F. Bosart, R. W. Moore, and O. Martius, 2013: A global climatology of baroclinically influenced cyclogenesis, Mon. Wea. Rev., 141, 1963–1989. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/MWR-D-12-00186.1

Moore, B. J., L. F. Bosart, D. Keyser, and M. L Jurewicz, 2013: Synoptic-scale environments of predecessor rain events occurring east of the Rocky Mountains in association with Atlantic basin tropical cyclones, Mon. Wea. Rev., 141, 1022–1047. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/MWR-D-12-00178.1

Metz, N. D., H. M. Archambault, A. F. Srock, T. J. Galarneau, Jr., and L. F. Bosart, 2013: A comparison of South American and African preferential pathways for extreme cold events. Mon. Wea. Rev, 141, 2066–2086. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/MWR-D-12-00202.1

Weisman, M. L., C. Evans, and L. F. Bosart, 2013: The 8 May 2009 Super-derecho: An analysis of a realtime explicit convective forecast. Weather and Forecasting, 28, 863–892. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WAF-D-12-00023.1

Archambault, H. M., D. Keyser, and L. F. Bosart, 2013: A climatological analysis of the extratropical flow response to recurving western North Pacific tropical cyclones, Mon. Wea. Rev., 141, 2325–2346. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/MWR-D-12-00257.1

Evans, C., M. L. Weisman, and L. F. Bosart, 2014: Development of an intense, warm-core mesoscale vortex associated with the 8 May 2009 "Super Derecho" convective event, J. Atmos. Sci., 71, 1218–1240. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JAS-D-13-0167.1

Ruppert Jr., J. H. and L. F. Bosart, 2014: A case study of the interaction of a mesoscale gravity wave with a mesoscale convective system. Mon. Wea. Rev., 142, 1403–1429. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/MWR-D-13-00274.1

Griffin, K. S. and L. F. Bosart, 2014: The extratropical transition of Tropical Cyclone Edisoana (1990). Mon. Wea. Rev., 142, 2772–2793. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/MWR-D-13-00282.1

Galarneau, Jr., T. J., R. McTaggart-Cowan, L. F. Bosart, and C. A. Davis, 2015: Development of North Atlantic tropical disturbances near upper-level potential vorticity streamers. J Atmos. Sci., 72, 572597. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JAS-D-14-0106.1

Archambault, H. M., D. Keyser, L. F. Bosart, C.A. Davis, and J. M. Cordeira, 2015: A composite perspective of the extratropical flow response to recurving North Pacific tropical cyclones. Mon. Wea. Rev., 143, 1122–1141. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/MWR-D-14-00270.1

Weisman, M. L., R. J. Trapp, G. S. Romine, C. Davis, R. Torn, M. Baldwin, L. Bosart, J. Brown, M. Coniglio, D. Dowell, A. C. Evans, T. J. Galarneau, Jr., J. Haggerty, T. Hock, K. Manning, P. Roebber, P. Romashkin, R. Schumacher, C. S. Schwartz, R. Sobash, D. Stensrud, and S. B. Trier, 2015:  The Mesoscale Predictability Experiment (MPEX), Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 96, 2127–2149. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00281.1

Guastini, C. T., and L. F. Bosart, 2016:  Analysis of a progressive derecho climatology and associated formation environments, Mon. Wea. Rev., 144, 1363–1382. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/MWR-D-15-0256.1

Bentley, A. M., D. Keyser, and L. F. Bosart, 2016: A dynamically based climatology of subtropical cyclones in the North Atlantic basin, Mon. Wea. Rev., 144, 2049–2068. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/MWR-D-15-0251.1

Tang, B., M. Vaughan, R. Lazear, K. Corbosiero, and L. Bosart, 2016:  Topographic and boundary influences on the 22 May 2014 Duanesburg, New York, unexpected tornadic supercell, Wea. Forecast, 31, 107–127. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WAF-D-15-0101.1

Lamberson, W. S., R. D. Torn, L. F. Bosart, and L. Magnusson, 2016:  Diagnosis of the source and evolution of medium-range forecast errors for extratropical cyclone Joachim, Wea. Forecast., 31, 1197–1214. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WAF-D-16-0026.1

Bosart, L. F., B. J. Moore, J. M. Cordeira, and H. M. Archambault, 2017:  Interactions of North Pacific tropical, midlatitude, and polar disturbances resulting in linked extreme weather events over North America in October 2007, Mon. Wea. Rev., 145, 1245–1273. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/MWR-D-16-0230.1

Evans, C. and Coauthors, 2017: The Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones. Part I:  Cyclone Evolution and Direct Impacts.  Mon. Wea. Rev., 145, 4317–4344. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/MWR-D-17-0027.1

Papin, P. P., L. F. Bosart, and R. D. Torn, 2017:  A climatology of Central American gyres. 2016:  Mon. Wea. Rev., 146, 1983–2000. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/MWR-D-16-0411.1

Bentley, A. M., L. F. Bosart, and D. Keyser, 2017:  Upper-tropospheric precursors to the formation of subtropical cyclones that undergo tropical transition in the North Atlantic basin, 2016:  Mon. Wea. Rev., 146, 503–520. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/MWR-D-16-0263.1 https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/MWR-D-16-0411.1

Vaughan, M. T, B. H. Tang, and L. Bosart, 2017:  Climatology and Analysis of High-Impact, Low Predictive Skill Severe Weather Events in the Northeast United States. Wea. Forecast., 32, 1903–1919.  https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WAF-D-17-0044.1

Ribeiro, B. Z., and L. F. Bosart, 2018:  Elevated Mixed Layers and Associated Severe Thunderstorm Environments in South and North America. Mon. Wea. Rev., 146, 3–28. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/MWR-D-17-0121.1

Schultz, D. M., and Coauthors, 2018:  Extratropical cyclones:  A Century of Research on Meteorology’s Centerpiece. Meteorol. Monographs, 59, https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/AMSMONOGRAPHS-D-18-0015.1

Bentley, A. M., L. F. Bosart, and D. Keyser, 2019:  No AccessA Climatology of Extratropical Cyclones Leading to Extreme Weather Events over Central and Eastern North America. Mon. Wea. Rev., 147, 1471–1490. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/MWR-D-18-0453.1

Winters, A. C., D. Keyser, and L. F. Bosart, 2019:  The Development of the North Pacific Jet Phase Diagram as an Objective Tool to Monitor the State and Forecast Skill of the Upper-Tropospheric Flow Pattern. Wea. Forecast., 34, 199–219.  https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WAF-D-18-0106.1

Winters, A. C., L. Bosart, and D. Keyser, 2019:  Antecedent North Pacific Jet Regimes Conducive to the Development of Continental U.S. Extreme Temperature Events during the Cool Seaso., Wea. Forecast., 34, 393–414. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WAF-D-18-0168.1

Röthlisberger, M., L. Frossard, L. F. Bosart, D. Keyser, and O. Martius:  Recurrent Synoptic-Scale Wave Patterns and their Effect on the Persistence of Hot and Cold Spells. 2019:  J. Climate, 32, 3207–3226. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0664.1

Howarth, M. E., C. D. Thorncroft, and L. F. Bosart, 2019:  Changes in Extreme Precipitation in the Northeast United States: 1979–2014. J. Hydromet., 20, 673–689. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JHM-D-18-0155.1

Moore, B. J., D. Keyser, and L. F. Bosart, 2019:   Linkages between extreme precipitation events in the central and eastern U.S. and Rossby wave breaking. Mon. Wea. Rev., paper in review.

Kenyon, J. S., D. Keyser, L. F. Bosart, and M. S. Evans, 2019:  The Motion of Mesoscale Snowbands in Northeast U.S. Winter Storms. Wea. Forecast., paper in review.