AGOG 518/ABIO 518/IINF 508 Fall 2008

 

Ecological Modeling

 

This is a hands-on class which introduces various theoretical and mathematical approaches for modeling ecological and environmental data. We start with (animal) population models and move on to plant-based models before scaling up to landscape, ecosystem, and global modeling. At the end of the semester, we will explore models for decision making. The class is accompanied by a computer-based laboratory for the application of existing models. All models and data will be provided during class. Basic computer and math knowledge is required.

 

Instructor:               Dr. M. Calef              

                             Phone: 591-8563                     

                             Email: mcalef@albany.edu

                             Office: AS 208

 

Office Hours:           Tu/Wed 3 to 4 pm and by appointment

 

Class meeting time: Wednesday 4:15-7:05 pm in AS 3 (basement), 3 credit hours

 

Class website:          http://www.albany.edu/~mc969295/modeling.html

 

Text book:

          ‘Building models for conservation and wildlife management’ by A. M. Starfield and A. L. Bleloch, 1991, 2nd edition. Additional reading will be provided as needed.

 

Course Grade:         

          The course grade is based on a midterm (15 pts), 4 modeling/writing assignments (15 pts each), and development of a model with presentation (25 pts). The assignments will be conducted either as individual or in small groups (2 to 3 students) and consist of a combination of modeling exercises and a 5 to 10 page write-up. I strongly recommend purchasing a 1 GB jump drive (<$20) for easy file transfers.

                            

Attendance:

Attendance is mandatory and this includes being punctual. It is the student’s responsibility to attend all classes, take notes, and make sure he/she is assigned to a group especially if he/she misses a class when groups are assigned. If there are problems with attendance or being punctual, I will take attendance randomly. If you miss three attendance checks, I will take 10 points off your final grade (~ full letter grade).

         


Tentative Schedule

 

 

Date

Lecture Topic

Reading

Assignment

Aug

27

Introduction, Excel Tips & Tricks

Ch. 1, Haefner

-

 

 

Population Models

 

 

Sep

3

Analytic Population Models; Lotka-Volterra

Ch. 6, Haefner, Lec2, Shugart

-

Sep

10

Total Pop. Model, roc; Life Stages Pop. Model, wildebeest

Ch. 3; 2

-

Sep

17

Age Structure Pop. Model, elephants; Individual Based Pop. Model, lions

Ch. 8; 4

Midterm

 

 

Vegetation Models

 

 

Sep

24

Forrester Diagrams, Gap Vegetation Models, Discriminant Function, Linear & Logistic Regression

Shugart, Haefner Calef

Succession - 1

Oct

1

*** Rosh Hashanah ***

 

Oct

8

*** Yom Kippur ***

 

Oct

15

Heterogeneous Landscape Models, cellular automata, Markov models, differential equation models; System models, Frame-based modeling

Ch. 5, Shugart

DUE

Super Excel – 2 (indiv.)

 

 

Landscape Models

 

 

Oct

22

Modeling Alaskan Vegetation: ArcVeg, ALFRESCO

Epstein1, Rupp1, Epstein2, Rupp2

DUE

Boreal – 3

Oct

29

Guest Speaker: Dr. John Davis: conservation model for Montgomery County, NY; Caribou Model

 

 

 

Decision Making

 

 

Nov

5

Decision Making, Decision trees, expert systems, pet-o-matic; Multiple Stake holders, decision making; SMART

Ch. 9, Starfield, Berger, Malczewski

DUE

Nov

12

Linear Programming, valley and highland, optimization; Linear & Binary Integer Programming

Ch. 7

Nov

19

Modeling Global Climate Change

 

Nov

26

** Thanksgiving Break ***

 

 

Dec

3

Presentations

 

PRESENT