I am interested in analyzing expert
or professional judgment under
conditions of complexity and uncertainty.
Why are some judges more accurate
than others? How can judgments
be improved? I use Brunswik's lens
model framework and the lens model
equation to analyze various components
of expert skill. I am particularly
interested in practical applications
of judgment and decision research
to public policy issues and to
improving professional judgment.
Recently, I have become increasingly
interested in observing and studying
judgment and decision making in
natural settings.For more information, see the
Center for Policy Research and
the home
page for my course "Seminar
on Judgment and Decision making
Behavior."
