Lecture notes are available under "Descriptions" of each week. They are in PDF format, which requires the Adobe Reader to view and print them. You'll also have to set your web browser preferences to use the Acrobat Reader to access PDF files.
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Week
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Date
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Topic
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Description
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Readings due
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Exercises due
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Project parts due
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1
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Aug 31 |
Intro | Introduction, overview & review | |||
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2
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Sept 7
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Formulation | Concept models Concept model paper Welfare1, Welfare2, Welfare3 |
Sterman §11, 12, 13.1-13.2.7 |
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4
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Sept 14
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Formulation | Kim, Meadows, Braun, "The System Archetypes" |
Download Naill's Natural Gas model |
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5
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Sept 21
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Formulation | Classical control theory | Feedback Thought §2 &3 | A system archtype | Archetypes related to the project |
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6
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Sept 28
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Conceptualization | Communicating structure: cognitive maps, policy structures | Morecroft (both), Sterman §15 | PID controllers | |
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7
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Oct 5
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Conceptualization | Project presentations |
Project diagrams | ||
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8
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Oct 12
|
Conceptualization | Group Model Building Norway Sept 2005, Recent Advances in GMB Models: See Week 2 for Noway concept models, HYDRO1 |
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9
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Oct 19
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Conceptualization & Formulation | Sterman §14, 16 | |||
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10
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Oct 26
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Validation | Understanding model behavior/sensitivity | Sterman §21 | Progress reports | |
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11
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Nov 2
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Validation | Fitting to data; Optimization; Thiel statistics Petroleum fit description |
Sterman §21.4.7 | Analytic initialization | |
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12
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Nov 9
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Projects | Model evaluation: What is good (or bad) work? | Article to review for class | Model analysis report and model | |
13 |
Nov 16 |
Validation | Forrester & Senge, (Sterman §21) | |||
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14
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Nov 23
|
***No Class*** | Thanksgiving | |||
15 |
Dec 7 |
Validation | Final presentations | PowerPoint presentation and model | ||
16 |
Dec 10 |
Projects | Written project due | Project report |
| Readings: On Reserve | Readings: On Blackboard (Eventually, I hope) |
| Forrester, Industrial Dynamics [Reserve] | Kim, D.H. (1992). Systems Archetypes. |
| ISDM: Intro to System Dynamics Modeling with DYNAMO [Reserve] | Meadows, Whole earth models and systems |
| Richardson, Feedback Thought in Social Science and Systems Theory [Reserve] | Morecroft, J. D. W. (1984). Strategy Support Models. |
| Morecroft, J. D. W. 1988. System Dynamics and Microworlds for Policymakers. | |
| Richardson, G.P, and D.F. Andersen (1995). Teamwork in Group Model Building. | |
| Graham, Parameterization, in Randers, Elements of the System Dynamics Method | |
| Forrester, J. W., & Senge, P. M. (1980). Tests for Building Confidence in System Dynamics Models. |